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Thank you so much for reading TME! 🎈
I decided to estimate how many times I write the word SUSTAINABILITY every week. If I consider both English and Portuguese (my mother tongue), I could be landing at roughly 40 times!!! Is it time I changed profession?
Maybe you are asking yourself why I would be sharing this useless data about my writing mania. The thing is, this issue of TME surfaced something intriguing, to say the least: neither Anthropic nor OpenAI has a sustainability report. Anthropic has a Transparency Hub page, and if you search for the words “environmental” or “sustainability” (which, btw, I typed several times during this research), you will find 2 and 1 entries, respectively. But you will find a lot more other words, which may make you (even more) concerned about what these people are playing with. OpenAI has funny pages and resources, but no commitment or transparently communicated emissions, for example.
For more details on this, you can check out the section below, which I renamed especially for this occasion: from Promise Kept, where I normally check companies’ pledges status, to No Promise. No one wonders why.
Apparently, none of these companies writes about sustainability as much as I do. 🫠
Enjoy your read! 🫶
LAST WEEK AT A GLANCE
🗞 LEAD STORY
UNFCCC's three-report pre-COP31 bundle finds whole-of-economy climate policy is now the norm but current pledges deliver only a six per cent emissions cut by 2035 against the sixty per cent IPCC says is needed
The UN Framework Convention on Climate Change released its 2026 NDC Synthesis Report alongside the second Biennial Transparency Report (BTR) Synthesis and the National Adaptation Plan (NAP) Progress Report on 27 October, three weeks before COP31 opens in Antalya. The combined evidence base is that Paris Agreement machinery is maturing, with 127 new NDCs recorded between January 2024 and August 2026 covering roughly seventy per cent of global emissions and 137 Parties now reporting under the Enhanced Transparency Framework. The gap between policy and 1.5°C-aligned ambition, by contrast, is widening.
Current submitted pledges would cut global emissions by about six per cent by 2035 below 2019 levels, rising to roughly nine per cent on full implementation. The IPCC AR6 benchmark for a 1.5°C-aligned path is sixty per cent by 2035. Executive Secretary Simon Stiell framed the three reports as showing “more governments are taking climate action right across their economies” while adding that collective progress remains clearly insufficient and that COP31 will need to turn direction into pace. Ninety per cent of new NDCs say the first Global Stocktake informed them, ninety-eight per cent engage non-Party stakeholders in implementation, up from seventy per cent, and seventy-three per cent now carry an adaptation component.
The BTR Synthesis extends the audit trail further: 137 first BTRs cover roughly eighty-five per cent of global emissions, and sixty-one Parties, covering about sixty-six per cent of 2020 emissions, recorded progress against NDC targets across the 2020 to 2022 period. The NAP Progress Report shows 146 countries have initiated the NAP process, with 81 developing countries, including 29 LDCs and 17 SIDS, having submitted plans as of 20 October, and finance access flagged as the binding barrier. Alongside the trio, the Standing Committee on Finance's Seventh Biennial Assessment lands global climate finance at an annual average of roughly USD 1.9 trillion across 2023 and 2024, up thirty-two per cent on the previous biennium. For EU preparers finishing CSRD cycles and sovereigns calibrating transition finance against Target 19 at CBD COP17, the three reports are the quantitative frame everything else will be read against through COP31.
Why it matters: the UNFCCC trio is the authoritative pre-COP31 benchmark for every corporate transition plan, sovereign NDC and climate-finance programme now being read ahead of Antalya, and the six per cent against sixty per cent gap makes any 2035 claim that still assumes smooth 1.5°C-aligned alignment look progressively indefensible without a step-change in sectoral decarbonisation.
Sources: UNFCCC · Carbon Brief DeBriefed
⚖ REGULATORY AND POLICY WATCH
Türkiye becomes the second Party to submit a Second Biennial Transparency Report, filed on 23 October ahead of the end-of-year deadline with an updated, more ambitious NDC and GHG inventory extended through 2024
Türkiye submitted its Second Biennial Transparency Report under the Paris Agreement's Enhanced Transparency Framework on 23 October 2026, becoming only the second Party, after Colombia, to file a BTR2 ahead of the 31 December 2026 universal deadline. The report extends the national greenhouse-gas inventory through 2024 and presents what the UNFCCC Secretariat calls a more ambitious NDC than Türkiye's 2023 submission, which is operationally relevant given Türkiye will host COP31 in Antalya from 9 to 20 November 2026. The 2026 BTR Synthesis Report, published by UNFCCC the same week, shows 137 Parties have submitted first BTRs covering roughly eighty-five per cent of global emissions, so the move marks the start of the second reporting cycle rather than the headline. Both Türkiye's and Colombia's submissions are on the public UNFCCC registry.
Why it matters: a BTR2 ahead of the deadline from the incoming COP presidency signals the Enhanced Transparency Framework is now the operational register against which Paris progress is read, and sets a procedural benchmark CSRD preparers and sovereign-debt investors should expect to see repeated by other major Parties through Q4.
Sources: UNFCCC · UNFCCC BTR Synthesis
📬 MARKET & CORPORATE MOVES
UNFCCC's Seventh Biennial Assessment lands annual global climate finance flows at a USD 1.9 trillion average across 2023 and 2024, up thirty-two per cent on the previous biennium
The Standing Committee on Finance's Seventh Biennial Assessment and Overview of Climate Finance Flows, released alongside the UNFCCC pre-COP31 synthesis trio on 27 October, puts global climate finance at roughly USD 1.9 trillion a year on average across 2023 and 2024, up about thirty-two per cent on the 2021 to 2022 biennium. The acceleration is concentrated in mitigation, with renewable power, electrified transport and energy-efficient buildings dominating the volume, while adaptation finance remains the structural laggard the NAP Progress Report consistently flags. The Committee frames the result as a direct consequence of where capital actually moves rather than where pledges land, which pairs with the headline NDC Synthesis finding that current submissions cut emissions only six per cent by 2035. European sovereign and supranational issuers, the EU Commission's NextGenerationEU green bond programme and sustainability-linked instruments under the ICMA Climate Transition Finance Handbook remain the structural anchors on the supply side ahead of the New Collective Quantified Goal talks at Antalya.
Why it matters: treasurers and investor-relations teams building 2027 issuance calendars should treat the USD 1.9 trillion figure as the quantitative floor COP31 negotiators will be read against, and the thirty-two per cent biennial jump makes credible transition-finance labels, not generic green debt, the growth margin for European issuers through next year.
🤖 AI & SUSTAINABILITY
Eighty-one per cent of 1,832 energy leaders expect AI-driven electricity demand to run ahead of current forecasts as data-centre load pushes toward 950 TWh by 2030
The 2026 ADIPEC Global Energy Executive Survey, polling 1,832 senior energy and corporate leaders across 78 countries ahead of ADIPEC 2026 in Abu Dhabi, finds that eighty-one per cent expect AI-driven electricity demand to overtake today's mainstream forecasts, with thirty-two per cent saying significantly ahead and only three per cent expecting it to come in lower. The survey slots neatly against the IEA's April 2026 Energy and AI special report, which projected global data-centre electricity demand to roughly double to around 945 TWh by 2030, with AI the dominant driver, and against the IEA's subsequent finding that AI's energy appetite is now outpacing the deployment of AI-based climate solutions. Forty-three per cent of respondents said technology and AI firms will gain the most influence over energy strategy over the next decade, more than any other category, which has operational implications for how utilities, grid operators and regulators plan interconnection queues and capacity markets ahead of COP31.
Why it matters: EU grid planners, hyperscaler sustainability teams and sovereign NDC drafters should read the 81 per cent figure as a market signal that current NDC and corporate-transition-plan 2035 trajectories are being set below where capital-intensive AI buildout actually lands, and the gap is now being flagged by the operators themselves rather than only by critics.
🌳 NATURE, BIODIVERSITY & REGENERATIVE ECONOMY
CBD COP17 closes a day late in Yerevan with the Yerevan Pathway adopted, but the finance and implementation gaps left open
The 17th Conference of the Parties to the UN Convention on Biological Diversity closed in Yerevan on Saturday 31 October, after negotiations ran roughly 24 hours past the scheduled Friday finish. Parties adopted nearly 50 decisions, headlined by the Yerevan Pathway, the negotiated response to the first global review of progress under the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework. The Pathway sets priorities to 2030: tackling nature-harmful subsidies and incentives, increasing financial, scientific and technical support for developing countries, aligning national budgets and economic decisions with the framework, and strengthening monitoring, reporting and review. Parties also agreed the operating rules for the permanent body on Article 8(j) on Indigenous Peoples and local communities. Not everything closed: talks on cooperation and the strategic review, plus two items under the Nagoya Protocol, were deferred to the next meetings, and observers including WWF criticised the outcome for leaving the core finance and implementation gaps unresolved.
Why it matters: the Yerevan Pathway is now the benchmark that national biodiversity plans and corporate nature targets will be read against to 2030, and its explicit focus on nature-harmful subsidies and budget alignment is the clearest signal yet of where regulatory pressure will land for companies working to TNFD or the EU Nature Restoration Regulation.
Sources: CBD Secretariat · edie · Xinhua
🥳 EXCELLENT NEWS
Madeira's marine reserves show what protection does: more life where fishing stops, and a monk seal colony grown from 8 to 31

Nearly 200 scientists spent October on the Madeira Ocean expedition, using baited underwater cameras and environmental DNA sampling to compare fully protected waters south of the Desertas Islands with areas to the north where some fishing is still allowed. Dive surveys inside and outside the Garajau reserve already point the same way: more biodiversity where protection applies. The archipelago's track record backs it up, with the Desertas reserve helping a colony of Mediterranean monk seals, one of Europe's most endangered marine mammals, grow from eight animals to 31.
Sources: AFP via Asharq Al-Awsat · RTP (Lusa)
🤔 TODAY: NO PROMISE
The two frontier AI labs with the largest planned data-centre buildouts, OpenAI and Anthropic, have no dated 2016 or 2020 climate commitment on file to measure 2026 reality against
OpenAI (founded December 2015). Independent trackers record no reported emissions data and no climate commitments on record. There is no public sustainability report, no dated Scope 1, 2 or 3 inventory, and no 2020 pledge of the type Promise Kept checks. Sam Altman has made ad hoc statements on model-query energy and water, and OpenAI is widely reported to be planning data-centre capacity on the order of hundreds of gigawatts.
Anthropic (founded January 2021) is too young to have a 2016 or 2020 pledge; its climate commitments all date from 2025 and 2026. The DitchCarbon tracker currently records no reported emissions data and no climate commitments on record. The company's most concrete action to date is the February 2026 pledge to cover US ratepayer electricity cost increases driven by its wholly owned data centres in Texas, New York and Louisiana, as covered by TechRadar on 13 February 2026. Anthropic also participates in the Frontier carbon-removal coalition.
Both companies are among the largest AI data-centre operators by planned compute capacity, and neither has published a corporate sustainability report, a dated Scope 1, 2 or 3 inventory or a 2016 or 2020 climate commitment. Verdict: no promise on file.
Sources: DitchCarbon (OpenAI) · DitchCarbon (Anthropic) · TechRadar on Anthropic ratepayer commitment
Your Opinion 👆
Does a missing sustainability report change whether you use their AI tools?
🔧 TOOL OF THE WEEK
Climate Action Tracker, the independent analysis platform rating every major emitter's climate commitments and actions against the Paris Agreement temperature goals
Climate Action Tracker (CAT) is a free, in-browser scientific tracking tool produced by the Climate Analytics and NewClimate Institute consortium that scores 42 countries representing roughly eighty per cent of global emissions on NDC ambition, policies and action, net-zero targets, climate finance and overall rating against 1.5°C and 2°C alignment. It covers country ratings, aggregate global temperature projections (currently around 2.6°C to 2.8°C depending on scenario), sectoral benchmarks and the twice-yearly flagship update timed to the Climate Summit cycle. No account, no payment, no install, and the methodology, data and rating criteria are fully documented. Timely with the UNFCCC pre-COP31 synthesis trio: CAT is the independent cross-check for how large a gap each individual country's pledge sits above the IPCC 1.5°C benchmark, and the aggregate rating has been the reference most trade press use when summarising collective ambition.
.· This Week’s Specials ·.
🤞 CAREERS
Impactpool. The careers platform the UN system, development banks and large NGOs use for sustainability and climate roles at every career stage, with filters for employer, duty station and language.
🤙 RECS
🇧🇷 Lula Has Four More Years. Does the Amazon? Outrage + Optimism (29 October, about 60 minutes) on whether Brazil's politics can carry a forest and transition deal through Lula's fourth term.
🖐️ FIVE MINUTES WELL WASTED
Carbon Mapper. A free live map of methane and CO2 super-emitter plumes spotted from orbit. Zoom into any oil field, landfill or mine and see who is leaking; no account needed.
🤌 THE JARGON WATCH
“Net-zero-aligned” is the phrasing a corporate strategy, a sovereign NDC or a financial product reaches for when it wants to claim a 1.5°C-coherent trajectory without binding itself to the dated benchmarks that would let the claim be tested. The looseness lives in which net-zero year is assumed, which pathway, what counts as a residual emission, and whether removals and offsets are limited or quietly stuffed into the gap. With the UNFCCC synthesis trio showing current NDCs cutting only six per cent by 2035 against the IPCC's sixty per cent, treat every “net-zero-aligned” label pointed at 2050 as a prompt to open the methodology.
📅 UPCOMING
9 to 20 November. COP31 in Antalya: NDC ambition, Article 6 and the new climate finance goal.
11 November. EFRAG consultation on the XBRL taxonomy for the revised ESRS closes.
31 December. Deadline for Parties' Second Biennial Transparency Reports.